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The Meb Faber Show · Friday, July 17, 2026

AI to Displace 15% of Knowledge Workers in Three Years, Predicts Block

Carson Block predicts that AI will displace a significant portion of knowledge workers, estimating around 15% of US knowledge workers within three years. He believes this will lead to a substantial decrease in aggregate demand and have a deflationary impact.

personCarson Block

The tape

5 quotes
I think that AI will displace a significant proportion of knowledge workers.
Carson Block
So, you know, we think 15%, you know, roughly 15% of US knowledge workers within three years is possible.
Carson Block
I mean, like if CapEx plans get dialed back, maybe that timeline changes.
Carson Block
But I feel that this is coming within, you know, not too too distant future, regardless.
Carson Block
So I think that AI will end up being, you know, like quite deflationary at that point in time.
Carson Block
Heard on The Meb Faber Show — “Muddy Waters’ Carson Block on How AI Could Unwind the S&P 500 | #640, published Friday, July 17, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
Transcribed via Gemini audio transcription · $0.06