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The Meb Faber Show · Friday, October 23, 2026

Shadow VIX Would Be Around 40 Under Normal Stock Correlation, Says Deluard

Vincent Deluard explains that the correlation matrix of U.S. stocks has dropped to near zero with a third of stocks trading at negative beta, keeping the VIX artificially suppressed. He calculates that if stocks had normal historical correlations, the VIX would be trading around 40.

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The tape

2 quotes
“We have about a third of U.S. stocks trading at negative beta.”
Vincent Deluard
“the VIX would be around 40, if that were the case.”
Vincent Deluard
Heard on The Meb Faber Show — “StoneX' Vincent Deluard: The S&P Is Hiding a Bear Market | #655”, published Friday, October 23, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
Transcribed via deepinfra · $0.01
Shadow VIX Would Be Around 40 Under Normal Stock Correlation, Says Deluard — Heardvine