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Marketplace · Monday, October 26, 2026

Oxford Economics Analyst Links Rising Bond Term Premiums to Federal Debt and Middle East War

Analyst John Canavan of Oxford Economics stated that term premiums on 10-year bonds have risen due to investor concerns about absorbing heavy government debt issuance and risks stemming from the war in the Middle East affecting oil prices and inflation.

personJohn CanavancompanyOxford Economics

The tape

2 quotes
“John Canavan, lead market analyst at Oxford Economics, says some of that is because investors are concerned about what will happen if the government floods the market with new treasuries to finance the national debt.”
Justin Ho
“Canavan says another factor pushing up term premiums this year is the war in the Middle East and all of the risks it's generating.”
Justin Ho
Heard on Marketplace — “What's in AI's next chapter?”, published Monday, October 26, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
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Oxford Economics Analyst Links Rising Bond Term Premiums to Federal Debt and Middle East War — Heardvine