Decoder with Nilay Patel · Thursday, September 17, 2026
Mustafa Suleyman predicts that future AI models, like GPT-9, will be orders of magnitude more powerful than current ones, leading to breathtaking capabilities. He bases this prediction on the rapid progress observed over the past five years.
“But if you imagine the difference between GPT3 three years ago and GPT6 today, and then imagine the difference between GPT6 and GPT9, which is three orders of magnitude more compute, 1,000 times more flops applied to pre-training and RL for these runs. We're gonna have something which is breathtaking.”
“Like, it's gonna be absolutely incredible at so many things. And I don't think that that is hype. I think it's just very obvious empirical statement based on the progress that has been made over the last five years.”