Unchained · Friday, August 28, 2026
The Clarity bill's chances of passing this year appear slim, with current market odds around 15%. Projections suggest a 50/50 chance of it passing before the end of 2028. The bill's progression is a point of interest following discussions at a recent White House crypto summit.
“So, there is also push to see if clarity can pass. There was a lot of mention from Trump at this White House crypto summit about clarity, but clarity is still sitting now around 15% on polymarket.”
“It looks like clarity is not likely to pass this year, but, uh, if you draw the line forward for another two years, clarity's probably about 50/50 it seems like to pass before the end of 2028.”