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The David Lin Report · Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Oakley: Shiller P/E of 42 Suggests Minimal Future Gains

Ted Oakley points out that the Shiller P/E ratio is currently at 42, which historically indicates minimal returns over the next five years. He believes many investors are overlooking this valuation metric.

personTed Oakley

The tape

1 quote
The BA graph that they run, market vein, anything you want to run, a cape ratio, as I said, it's been for what, three or four months in a row. It's 42 now. I mean, uh, if you look at the history of that, when that ratio is over 35, you don't make any money the next five years. So, uh, but I think that's what's going on. And I think people are blind to that.
Ted Oakley
Heard on The David Lin Report — “Biggest Market Shift Now: ‘You’re Making A Mistake’ Ignoring These Assets | Ted Oakley, published Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
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Oakley: Shiller P/E of 42 Suggests Minimal Future Gains — Heardvine