The David Lin Report · Wednesday, August 12, 2026
Ted Oakley estimates that the long end of the yield curve could negatively impact the stock market once it reaches 5.5%. He believes this level would force adjustments due to the significant leverage in the market.
“I, I don't have any way of knowing that, but my guess would be five and a half.”
“Because once you get to five and a half, all of a sudden you adjust everything else. You're, you know, mortgages, you adjust what people have, you know, there's a lot of leverage out here. A lot of leverage that's based on floating rate, and, uh, I could see five and a half really sort of pushing them over the, sort of over the limit.”