Bloomberg Surveillance · Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Inflation remains sticky globally, exacerbated by commodity price shocks, leading to expectations of higher short-term interest rates. Supply increases at the long end of the curve from government and corporate issuance also put upward pressure on yields, contributing to a 'higher for longer' rate environment.
“First of all, short end rates are likely to be higher. Inflation is higher, not just in the US around the world, but inflation is higher and stickier. And then of course, now we've got the commodity price shock that is propagating to the economy, so that lifts the shorter end of the curve.”
“And then you know, we've got a lot of supply coming at the long end of the curve, a from fiscal so governments are issuing more. But you see it in the in the ITG market as well. You see the corporate market issue and more, particularly higher scalers at the long end, So that puts pressure.”