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Excess Returns · Thursday, August 6, 2026

Shifting Correlations: A New Market Paradigm?

Chan Yang observes that correlations between various economic indicators and the S&P 500 are breaking down, suggesting a shift towards a new market paradigm. He notes that these correlations are not static and evolve with the market and economy.

tickerS&P 500personChan YangpersonJack Forehand

The tape

4 quotes
You mentioned the idea of, uh, some of the underlying components driving the market, and you have this chart here that shows the correlation between some of these indicators and the S&P 500. And it's interesting because some of these correlations are breaking down. Can you talk about that?
Jack Forehand
Yeah, so, you know, when we think about the correlations between these indicators and the S&P 500, it's obvious that, you know, these correlations are not static. They change over time.
Chan Yang
And, you know, obviously, you know, as the market evolves and as the economy evolves, these correlations are going to shift.
Chan Yang
So, you know, in a way, it's like, you know, we're seeing a breakdown in some of these traditional correlations. And, you know, obviously, you know, it's going to be interesting to see how that plays out. But, you know, in a way, it's like, you know, we're seeing a new paradigm in the market, right?
Chan Yang
Heard on Excess Returns — “4% Inflation. Stretched Valuations. Why Is the Market Still Risk-On? | Tian Yang, published Thursday, August 6, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
Transcribed via Gemini audio transcription · $0.06
Shifting Correlations: A New Market Paradigm? — Heardvine