All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg · Monday, June 29, 2026
Nate Silver stated that there is no evidence of fraud in the California elections discussed, attributing the perceived statistical anomalies to systematic differences in how Democratic voters cast their ballots (later and by mail). However, he criticized California's slow vote-counting process as 'unacceptable' and a 'failed state' system.
“So I'd say, I think there is no evidence of fraud. Is the short summary version.”
“The mistake that can be made is to assume that each ballot, like comes in independently when there are systematic differences between groups and when they tend to cast their ballots. So Democrats have long been encouraged to vote by mail.”
“So look, I think California's system is completely unacceptable. I've done, um, some consulting work on like the Indian election where you like literally have polling stations in the Himalayas and they actually stagger their vote, but once election day happens, they count their vote within 24 hours. I think it's ridiculous and very failed state that California takes longer than that.”