All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg · Monday, June 29, 2026
Nate Silver explains his preference for betting on prediction markets over traditional sportsbooks due to limitations imposed by the latter. He consults for Polymarket and notes that prediction markets, despite their own issues, are more accessible for those considered 'sharp bettors'.
“Big Tony. If, if you are, I don't bet through Big Tony. If you are someone who's pursue, so I've been limited by DraftKings and MGM, a lot of the traditional retail sports books limit you. But prediction markets do not. I consult for Polymarket, I should say.”
“So if you're a sharp better, I have other issues, believe me with the prediction markets, but if you are a sharp better, then becomes easier to just concentrate your activity on the prediction markets where, you know, you have very smart people, you have hedge funds, you're probably making bets in these markets more and more. But yeah, more, more, I don't want to go through the rigor roll of like, can I even get my money down? So I've, I will admit I've gravitated toward toward those. Yes.”