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The Julia La Roche Show · Thursday, July 30, 2026

Powell Rejects Forward Guidance, Emphasizes Data Dependence and 'Team Transitory' Hints

Powell has rejected continuous forward guidance, stating the Fed is not in the forecasting business and emphasizing data dependence. DiMartino Booth interprets his remarks about not focusing on "shocks" as a potential hint towards 'team transitory,' suggesting a shift in how the Fed views current inflation drivers.

personPowell

The tape

4 quotes
Just the most inefficacious Fed chair, you know, ever. He's, you know, abandoning forward guidance, um, is reckless.
Danielle DiMartino Booth
And he also said, you know, that there were only two things wrong with data dependent, that there was data and dependence. So, um, meaning we're looking at the wrong data.
Danielle DiMartino Booth
And he let himself slip because he said, you know, we don't necessarily need to be focused on the shocks just because the streetlight is shining on them.
Danielle DiMartino Booth
And that led market participants to say, well, it sounds like he's kind of on team transitory to bring up an old phrase.
Danielle DiMartino Booth
Heard on The Julia La Roche Show — “Danielle DiMartino Booth: Nobody's Happy, Cracks Are Showing, & the Bond Market Already Tightened, published Thursday, July 30, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
Transcribed via Gemini audio transcription · $0.05
Powell Rejects Forward Guidance, Emphasizes Data Dependence and 'Team Transitory' Hints — Heardvine