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The David Lin Report · Thursday, July 30, 2026

Prediction Market Shows High Likelihood of Fed Rate Hike Above 3.50%

David Lin discusses interest rate influences on gold prices, citing data from the Kashi prediction market. Currently, the Fed funds rate is between 3.35% and 3.75%. The prediction market indicates a 99% chance that the Fed will raise rates above 3.50% after the July FOMC meeting.

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The tape

3 quotes
So currently, the Fed funds rate stands at 3.35 to 3.75 basis points.
David
And I like to use prediction markets because they've been pretty accurate.
David
And right now, traders are predicting that there's going to be a 99% chance that after the July FOMC meeting, the Fed is going to raise rates above 3.50 basis points.
David
Heard on The David Lin Report — “$40 Trillion Debt Trap: What Happens When ‘The Whole House Of Cards Collapses’? | Brien Lundin, published Thursday, July 30, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
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