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Wealthion · Thursday, July 30, 2026

Mortgage Rates Need to Drop Significantly for Affordability Improvement

Ivy Zelman states that for housing affordability to return to trend lines, mortgage rates would need to fall to around 4.5%. She also mentions that builders are offering rate buy-downs as low as 3.99%, but many potential buyers still struggle with debt-to-income ratios.

personIvy Zelman

The tape

2 quotes
You know, I think it's a great question for us to focus on when we look at what would get us back to trend line for affordability. And holding the other variables, mortgage rates, income, home prices, constant, mortgage rates would have to get back to call it 4 and a half percent.
Ivy Zelman
And what's interesting about that is that builders, the large production home builders, public builders, predominantly, but private as well, are actually offering mortgage rate buy-downs for 30 years, as low as 4 and a half, 4 and 99, some 3 and 99. And they still have difficulty qualifying people.
Ivy Zelman
Heard on Wealthion — “Everything You Believe About the Housing Market Is Wrong, published Thursday, July 30, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
Transcribed via Gemini audio transcription · $0.04
Mortgage Rates Need to Drop Significantly for Affordability Improvement — Heardvine