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Prof G Markets · Monday, June 29, 2026

Equal-Weight S&P 500 Outperformance Noted in H1 2026 Market Review

An analysis of the first half of 2026 indicates that an equal-weight S&P 500 index has outperformed the market cap-weighted index. This suggests that companies outside the top 10 by market capitalization have shown stronger performance.

tickerSPX

The tape

2 quotes
My prediction that, uh, you know, single-digit growth returns. So far, that prediction isn't correct, though I will hold to it at the end of the episode.
Um, some of the more specific predictions I made. I thought that the equal weight S&P would outperform. That you basically have outperformance from the rest of the S&P aside from the top 10. So far, that is true. Yes, it certainly is.
Heard on Prof G Markets — “This Market Is Directionless (And That Should Scare You), published Monday, June 29, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
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Equal-Weight S&P 500 Outperformance Noted in H1 2026 Market Review — Heardvine