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Prof G Markets · Friday, July 3, 2026

Tom Lee: Sector-Specific Schiller PE Analysis Shows Less Extended Valuations

Tom Lee suggested that analyzing the Schiller P/E ratio by sector can provide a more accurate comparison, noting that the tech sector's Schiller P/E is not as extended when compared to historical data, due to changes in earnings composition. He mentioned that tech is now a much larger contributor to overall earnings compared to the late 1990s.

personTom LeecompanyJP Morgan

The tape

3 quotes
You know, one thing that we've done in the past at, uh, when I was at JP Morgan, and then we continue to maintain it at Funstrat is yeah, you can run a Schiller PE by sector. And in that way, it's more apples to apples.
Tom Lee
Like, for instance, if you did tech, Schiller PE, then you can judge it 1929 versus now.
Tom Lee
But by that measurement, uh, the Schiller PE is not nearly as extended.
Tom Lee
Heard on Prof G Markets — “Tom Lee's Case for S&P 8,000 Has One Big Catch, published Friday, July 3, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
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Tom Lee: Sector-Specific Schiller PE Analysis Shows Less Extended Valuations — Heardvine