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The Julia La Roche Show · Thursday, July 16, 2026

Oakley: Risk-Reward Unfavorable in Late-Stage Market Moves

Ted Oakley believes that attempting to profit from the final stages of a market move is a poor strategy due to the unfavorable risk-reward ratio. He notes that while there might be limited upside, the potential downside is significantly larger, making such investments unattractive.

The tape

2 quotes
Well, that's, that's the problem. If if it's the last, let's say it's the last 6% or 8% of a move, then the risk reward on that is gone against you. In other words, let's say you have six or 7% upside, but 25% downside, that's not a good setup.
Ted Oakley
And that's the setup that we see a lot in a lot of companies today too. So, uh, and we like to have, you know, a lot of the opposite of that, you know, a low downside and a lot of potential.
Ted Oakley
Heard on The Julia La Roche Show — “#390 Ted Oakley: "It's Not a Normal Market" — A Generational Bear Could Cut Stocks 40%, published Thursday, July 16, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
Transcribed via Gemini audio transcription · $0.05
Oakley: Risk-Reward Unfavorable in Late-Stage Market Moves — Heardvine