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Prof G Markets · Thursday, July 16, 2026

Morningstar Analyst Maintains Bearish Outlook on SpaceX with $62 Price Target

Equity analyst Nicholas Owens from Morningstar, who was bearish on SpaceX prior to its IPO, reiterated his $62 price target for the stock. He explained that his valuation is based on a weighted average of three scenarios, with only a 7% probability assigned to the bull case that would reach higher valuations.

personNicholas OwenscompanySpaceXcompanyMorningstar

The tape

4 quotes
Joining us to discuss SpaceX's decline, we're speaking with Nicholas Owens, equity analyst at Morningstar.
Ed Elson
You published your SpaceX research before the IPO. You valued the company at $62 per share.
Ed Elson
Only in the bull case do you get into the $130, $150, $160 range.
Nicholas Owens
So that's where you get to a weighted average, fair value of $62.
Nicholas Owens
Heard on Prof G Markets — “SpaceX Is Down 40% — How Low Can It Go?, published Thursday, July 16, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
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Morningstar Analyst Maintains Bearish Outlook on SpaceX with $62 Price Target — Heardvine