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The David Lin Report · Wednesday, July 15, 2026

CPI Lower Than Expected, But Oil and Geopolitics Loom

The latest CPI print came in at 3.5%, lower than the expected 3.8% and significantly down from the prior month's 4.2%. This eased concerns about further Federal Reserve rate hikes and led to a 'risk-on' day in markets, with gold spiking 1.4%. However, rising oil prices due to tensions in the Strait of Hormuz may signal a short-lived reprieve from inflation.

The tape

3 quotes
“The, uh, actual headline CPI was 3.5%. That came out earlier today. 3.8% was the expectation.”
Unknown
“This is important because with the cooler than expected inflation print, uh, potentially we're looking at fewer rate hikes later this year.”
Unknown
“I wonder if this 3.5% CPI is a short-lived reprieve from inflation.”
Unknown
Heard on The David Lin Report — “How Low Will Gold Get? Trader Called Price Moves, Reveals The Bottom | Gary Wagner”, published Wednesday, July 15, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
Transcribed via Gemini audio transcription · $0.05
CPI Lower Than Expected, But Oil and Geopolitics Loom — Heardvine