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Prof G Markets · Wednesday, July 15, 2026

US Inflation Cools to 3.5%, But Future Outlook Uncertain Due to Geopolitical Tensions

The US inflation rate dropped to an annual rate of 3.5% in June, exceeding economists' predictions. Much of this decrease was attributed to lower energy prices, influenced by a US-Iran ceasefire, but this relief may be temporary. The recent escalation of US strikes on Iranian targets has caused Brent crude to climb, potentially driving inflation upwards again.

personPresident Trump

The tape

3 quotes
Inflation cooled to an annual rate of three and a half percent in June, which was lower than economists had predicted.
Ed Elson
Much of that drop was driven by lower energy prices, after the US Iran ceasefire eased fears of supply disruptions, but that relief may be short-lived.
Ed Elson
Last week, of course, President Trump declared the ceasefire over, and yesterday, the US launched a new round of strikes on Iranian targets.
Ed Elson
Heard on Prof G Markets — “Why America’s Inflation Problem Isn’t Going Away, published Wednesday, July 15, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
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US Inflation Cools to 3.5%, But Future Outlook Uncertain Due to Geopolitical Tensions — Heardvine