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The a16z Show · Tuesday, July 14, 2026

Gavin Baker: AI is Not a Bubble, Contrasting with 2000 Dot-Com Era

Gavin Baker believes the current AI landscape is not a bubble, drawing parallels and contrasts with the dot-com bubble of 2000. He highlights differences in valuations, such as Nvidia's P/E ratio compared to Cisco's at its peak, and the crucial distinction between 'dark fiber' in the past and 'dark GPUs' (or lack thereof) today, indicating active utilization of AI hardware.

tickerNVDApersonGavin BakercompanyCiscocompanyNvidia

The tape

3 quotes
uh I do not believe we're in an AI bubble today.
Gavin Baker
Contrast that with today. There are no dark GPUs.
Gavin Baker
So I think the round tripping concerns are pretty overblown.
Gavin Baker
Heard on The a16z Show — “Is AI a Bubble? | Gavin Baker on Data Centers, GPUs, and the AI Economy, published Tuesday, July 14, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
Transcribed via Gemini audio transcription · $0.04
Gavin Baker: AI is Not a Bubble, Contrasting with 2000 Dot-Com Era — Heardvine