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Bloomberg Surveillance · Monday, July 13, 2026

Rate Hike Door 'Not Really Open' for July, Analyst Argues

An analyst from BNY Mellon suggests that the possibility of a July rate hike by the Federal Reserve was unlikely, stating the 'door wasn't really open, maybe a jar in the first place.' He argues that given the current state of global demand, no central bank should be considering rate hikes unless there's a significant change in the inflation outlook.

The tape

2 quotes
If we get an inline CPI, do you think that closes the door to a July ray hike?
Speaker 2
I would say the door wasn't really open, maybe a jar in the first place, but clearly yes. And to be Frank, I don't think any central bank right now, given the state of demand globally, should be thinking about ray hikes unless there's a serious change in the inflation outlook rin now via the Strait or otherwise.
Speaker 3
Heard on Bloomberg Surveillance — “Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 13th, 2026, published Monday, July 13, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
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