The David Lin Report · Friday, July 10, 2026
A Forbes article cited in the discussion highlights a Google white paper indicating that breaking Bitcoin's elliptic curve cryptography might require fewer than 500,000 physical qubits. While current quantum computers are not capable of this, a late co-author estimates a 10% chance of a private key being recovered by 2032.
“Google finds quantum computer could break Bitcoin sooner than expected.”
“breaking the elliptic curve cryptography protecting Bitcoin, Ether, and most major cryptocurrencies could require fewer than 500,000 physical qubits on a supercomputing, a superconducting quantum computer.”
“He estimates at least a 10% chance that a quantum computer recovers a private key from an exposed public key by that year. 2032 is less than five and a half years away.”