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Prof G Markets · Friday, July 10, 2026

OpenAI's Valuation Under Scrutiny as Funding Rounds Questioned

Mallaby questioned the reported $122 billion raised by OpenAI, stating that a significant portion was conditional future promises rather than immediate funds. He suggests this tactic is an attempt to create an illusion of momentum.

personSebastian MallabycompanyOpenAI

The tape

3 quotes
If you look at the fundraising they did and announced earlier this year, the headline number they raised was $122 billion.
Sebastian Mallaby
But when you dig into, and I'm amazed the press didn't point this out more, about two-thirds of that amount was kind of promises in the future, conditional upon having a successful IPO or payment in kind, like, you know, access to compute.
Sebastian Mallaby
The actual real money was a small share of the total fundraising.
Sebastian Mallaby
Heard on Prof G Markets — “This Is How OpenAI Goes Broke — ft. Sebastian Mallaby, published Friday, July 10, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
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OpenAI's Valuation Under Scrutiny as Funding Rounds Questioned — Heardvine