Prof G Markets · Monday, November 2, 2026
Scott and Ed discuss prediction market data from Kalshi showing an 82% probability that Democrats win at least 218 House seats and 49 Senate seats in the upcoming midterm elections, driven largely by voter anger over inflation, tariffs, and gas prices.
“Cal Street puts the odds of a blue wave as defined by Democrats win at least 218 House seats and at least 49 Senate seats in the November midterms at 82%.”