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Forward Guidance · Friday, October 23, 2026

Refining Bottlenecks Drive High Crack Spreads and Long-Term Oil Floor

Global refinery utilization capacity is running full bore and skipping maintenance cycles due to high profit margins, creating a structurally persistent bid and floor under crude oil prices according to the speakers.

The tape

2 quotes
“refinery capacity is running full bore. The global refinery utilization capacity, really cannot be any higher. And it is so high. It's running at risk of you know, damage and it's been skipping maintenance cycles, like the fall and the spring.”
“These high crack spreads, more so than they do drive an immediate spike like a complete shutoff of the Strader Hormuz would, they create a more structurally persistent bid and floor in the price of crude.”
Heard on Forward Guidance — “The Only Way Out Is Through | Weekly Roundup”, published Friday, October 23, 2026. Heardvine summarizes and quotes with attribution and timestamps, and links to the original everywhere.
Transcribed via deepinfra · $0.01
Refining Bottlenecks Drive High Crack Spreads and Long-Term Oil Floor — Heardvine